ANALYSES AND SERVICES
ELECTRICITY CERTIFICATES OUTLOOK
Outlook 2017 - 2045
Spring 2017, 15th edition
Available from Wednesday April 5th
Elcert prices have plunged to all-time lows. Is this temporary, or will prices stay low for a long time?
The governments are likely to confirm the 18 TWh market-expansion during spring 2017. How will the suggested quota curve affect prices and investments?
Hundreds of renewable projects in Sweden and Norway are pending investment decision. Which investors will be able to invest, and which will be forced to cancel or postpone their projects? We provide an updated overview of all projects part of the optimal solution to the goal
What is the actual status of the goal? We provide the latest status with an updated overview of all projects under construction and with final investment decision
Bio CHP and hydro power investments in Sweden and Norway will take place towards and after 2020. Which impact will they have for onshore wind power investments?
How low can prices go - and what is the upside next years? How will power prices affect elcert prices over time? We run a number of scenarios
Is weather-risk relevant for certificate pricing? We run a number of weather scenarios with according price development
Comprehensive database with detailed overview of more than 100 TWh potential onshore wind projects pending or with approval
Complete overview of all large projects under construction as well as the expected onshore wind, large hydro, bio and wind power projects to take investment decision
Expected certificate price development under various scenarios: weather risk, technological and political risk
New quotas from 2018 and effects on the certificate balance
Merit order overview of investments from 2017 to 2020 (2030)
Complete monthly and annual balance from 2012 up to 2045 for all technologies, with according phase-out and accumulate balance development
The analysis is available as pdf and paper versions, including a spreadsheet with all relevant calculations from the analysis.
Nena offers a workshop at client premises or in the Nena office in Oslo where
pre-agreed topics related to the el-cert market are presented and discussed.
For best use of a workshop Nena recommends to add the most recent “Nordic Power
Outlook 2017-2045”. Use this opportunity to enhance your understanding of the
market and to challenge Nena.
Arve Dahl Nielsen
Director of Sales and Marketing
Master of Science Degree & Business from NHH, Bergen.
CEMS Masters Degree from NHH and Universitá L. Bocconi,
Milan. Certified Power Market Analyst from NHH. Earlier
experience as portfolio manager and trader at Norsk Hydro,
and NOS Clearing within sales and business development.
Employed since September 2010.
Yes, please send me an offer for:
NORDIC POWER OUTLOOK
Nena launches updated long term report on Nordic Power Outlook until 2045 on March 28th. We highly
recommend to include this report as the elcert and power markets are strongly interlinked.
ANALYSIS AND SERVICES
Based on in-house developed models Nena gives a full insight to Nordic power balance including a comprehensive coverage (...)
Nena offers fundamental coverage of German power with price forecasts for products ranging from day-ahead to nearest two calendar years (...)
Price forecast current and next week for base, peak and off-peak on daily resolution for current and next week. The analysis is based(…)
Price forecast for front month and next four quarters (…)
Freight rate forecasts for Capes and Panamax (…)
Web service for real-time gas flow data (…)
All large wind, hydro and onshore wind power projects (…)
Daily and weekly reports (…)
Nena offers insight and support to our clients (…)
LONG TERM REPORTS
Spring 2017, 28th edition: Scenario based analysis with updated price prognosis for all Nordic price areas on annual resolution.
Available from Tuesday March 28th
Spring 2017, 15th edition: Elcert prices have plunged to all-time lows. Is this temporary, or will prices stay low for a long time?
Available from Wednesday April 5th
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